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Derby County vs Southampton | TipsterGPT

England Championship   ·  Round 9

D

Derby County

Home Team

-
HT:
S

Southampton

Away Team

Date & Time

04/10/2025

17:00

Venue

Pride Park Stadium

Weather

Overcast

Temperature

11°C

Match Predictions

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Over/Under

***
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Both Teams to Score

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Match Result

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First Half Goal

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Corner Prediction

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Risky Prediction

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AI Analysis

Get AI insights for this match

Match Preview

Derby CountyvsSouthampton
Derby County vs Southampton
The England Championship   ·  Round 9 action continues at Pride Park Stadium where Derby County host Southampton (04/10/2025, 17:00). Match day weather conditions are pending forecast. Both teams will be eager to secure points in this England Championship   ·  Round 9 encounter, given their current positions.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Looking at their head-to-head record, Derby County have won 5 times, Southampton have won 5 times, and 10 matches have ended level in their last 20 encounters. Derby County have won 3 of their home matches against Southampton. Southampton have secured 3 away victories at Derby County. These matches have averaged 2.6 goals per game. Most Recent Meeting: The last encounter on 2019-01-16 ended in a 2-2 draw at Southampton's home ground.

Match Statistics Analysis

With only 4 of their last 10 matches seeing 3+ goals, Derby County tends to keep games tight. Goals at both ends have been common in Derby County's games, occurring in 8/10 matches. Scoring has been a highlight for Southampton, with 6/10 recent games seeing more than 2.5. Southampton's recent form shows both teams scoring in 7 of their last 10 matches.
Match Prediction: Recent statistics suggest both teams have a good chance of finding the net.
Derby County will be without 7 players for this match: 7 players are injured.

Team Status

Defenders
•

Center Back Curtis Nelson (#35) is injured

The defensive organization of Derby County might need adjustment with 1 player out

Southampton will be without 1 player for this match: 1 player is injured.

Team Status

All Percentages

Goals

70%

Home Goal

76%

Away Goal

Over/Under

74%

Over 1.5

49%

Over 2.5

27%

Over 3.5

Match Result

22%

1

43%

X

35%

2

First Half Result

19%

1 (HT)

49%

X (HT)

32%

2 (HT)

First Half Over/Under

57%

Over 0.5 (HT)

21%

Over 1.5 (HT)

5%

Over 2.5 (HT)

First Half Goals

30%

Home Goal (HT)

39%

Away Goal (HT)

Poisson Distribution

Total Goals

0 goals:7.1%
1 goals:18.78%
2 goals:24.84%
3 goals:21.9%
4 goals:14.48%
5 goals:7.66%

Home Goals

0 goals:29.68%
1 goals:36.05%
2 goals:21.89%
3 goals:8.86%
4 goals:2.69%
5 goals:0.65%

Away Goals

0 goals:23.92%
1 goals:34.22%
2 goals:24.47%
3 goals:11.67%
4 goals:4.17%
5 goals:1.19%

Total Goals (HT)

0 goals:42.74%
1 goals:36.33%
2 goals:15.44%
3 goals:4.37%
4 goals:0.93%
5 goals:0.16%

Home Goals (HT)

0 goals:70.47%
1 goals:24.66%
2 goals:4.32%
3 goals:0.5%
4 goals:0.04%
5 goals:0.0%

Away Goals (HT)

0 goals:60.65%
1 goals:30.33%
2 goals:7.58%
3 goals:1.26%
4 goals:0.16%
5 goals:0.02%

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2OddOver
Sbobet33.52.20.932.75
3.53.32.050.982.25
Bet3653.093.22.151.062.5
3.253.022.161.012.25
M882.983.152.331.062.5
3.33.152.170.992.25
188Bet3.13.42.160.832.25
3.33.32.110.982.25
Crown3.153.252.211.062.5
3.33.152.170.992.25
12Bet3.13.42.160.822.25
3.33.32.110.972.25
18Bet33.452.150.882.75
3.43.32.150.942.25
Macauslot33.42.210.822.25
3.33.32.110.972.25
Ladbrokes3.273.2720.892.25
3.273.2720.892.25
EasyBet33.52.250.72.5
3.53.252.11.12.5

Corner Odds

BookmakerUnderOverLine
Bet365 0.90.910

Double Chance Odds

Bookmaker1X12X2
8 0.70.330.29
31 0.730.290.25
49 0.680.330.29

Score Odds

ScoreOddsScoreOddsScoreOdds
1-0 7.6 0-1 5 0-0 6.9
2-0 17.5 0-2 8.4 1-1 4.9
2-1 12 1-2 7.8 2-2 17
3-0 59 0-3 20 3-3 119
3-1 41 1-3 19 Other 54