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Marseille vs Lorient | TipsterGPT

France Ligue 1   ·  Round 4

M

Marseille

Home Team

-
HT:
L

Lorient

Away Team

Date & Time

12/09/2025

21:45

Venue

Velodrome Stade

Weather

Not available

Temperature

Not available

Match Predictions

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Over/Under

***
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Both Teams to Score

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Match Result

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First Half Goal

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Corner Prediction

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Risky Prediction

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AI Analysis

Get AI insights for this match

Match Preview

MarseillevsLorient
Marseille vs Lorient
An exciting France Ligue 1   ·  Round 4 encounter awaits as Marseille welcome Lorient to Velodrome Stade on 12/09/2025 (21:45). Both teams will be eager to secure points in this France Ligue 1   ·  Round 4 encounter, given their current positions.

Fixture Analysis

Marseille have a relatively light schedule with only one upcoming fixture. With an important European fixture against Real Madrid approaching in 4 days, Marseille might need to carefully manage their squad.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Looking at their head-to-head record, Marseille have won 13 times, Lorient have won 3 times, and 4 matches have ended level in their last 20 encounters. Marseille have won 7 of their home matches against Lorient. Lorient have secured 1 away victories at Marseille. These fixtures have produced plenty of goals, averaging 3.1 per game. Most Recent Meeting: On 2024-05-12, Marseille won 3-1 at Marseille's home ground.

Match Statistics Analysis

Defensive stability has led to only 3/10 of Marseille's recent matches exceeding 2.5 goals. First half goals have been a constant in Marseille's games, appearing in 7/10 matches. Lorient's attacking prowess is evident, producing over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Lorient's matches have seen goals for both sides in 7/10 recent games.
Marseille will be without 5 players for this match: 4 players are injured and 1 player is suspended.

Team Status

Lorient will be without 4 players for this match: 4 players are injured.

Team Status

Defenders
•

Center Back Nathaniel Adjei (#) is injured

•

Center Back Souleymane Isaak Toure (#) is injured

These 2 defensive absences could significantly impact Lorient's backline stability

All Percentages

Goals

90%

Home Goal

80%

Away Goal

Over/Under

90%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

Match Result

57%

1

14%

X

29%

2

First Half Result

37%

1 (HT)

40%

X (HT)

23%

2 (HT)

First Half Over/Under

71%

Over 0.5 (HT)

36%

Over 1.5 (HT)

13%

Over 2.5 (HT)

First Half Goals

48%

Home Goal (HT)

45%

Away Goal (HT)

Poisson Distribution

Total Goals

0 goals:2.02%
1 goals:7.88%
2 goals:15.37%
3 goals:20.0%
4 goals:19.51%
5 goals:15.23%

Home Goals

0 goals:10.14%
1 goals:23.2%
2 goals:26.56%
3 goals:20.26%
4 goals:11.59%
5 goals:5.31%

Away Goals

0 goals:19.91%
1 goals:32.13%
2 goals:25.93%
3 goals:13.95%
4 goals:5.63%
5 goals:1.82%

Total Goals (HT)

0 goals:28.65%
1 goals:35.81%
2 goals:22.38%
3 goals:9.33%
4 goals:2.91%
5 goals:0.73%

Home Goals (HT)

0 goals:52.2%
1 goals:33.93%
2 goals:11.03%
3 goals:2.39%
4 goals:0.39%
5 goals:0.05%

Away Goals (HT)

0 goals:54.88%
1 goals:32.93%
2 goals:9.88%
3 goals:1.98%
4 goals:0.3%
5 goals:0.04%

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2OddOver
Sbobet1.424.5712.75
1.35.58.50.983.25
Bet3651.354.696.70.853
1.35.17.113.25
M881.3756.70.843
1.335.470.963.25
188Bet1.385.27.50.853
1.315.88.413.25
Crown1.3756.70.843
1.335.470.963.25
12Bet1.385.27.50.843
1.315.88.40.993.25
18Bet1.434.570.962.75
1.35.758.750.913.25
Macauslot1.45.270.863
1.315.88.413.25
Ladbrokes1.314.956.80.933.25
1.314.956.80.933.25
EasyBet1.444.570.752.5
1.335.580.442.5

Corner Odds

BookmakerUnderOverLine
Bet365 10.88.5
Sb 0.810.999

Double Chance Odds

Bookmaker1X12X2
8 0.0830.1432.4
31 0.060.122.15
49 0.080.142.25

Score Odds

ScoreOddsScoreOddsScoreOdds
1-0 8.2 0-1 25 0-0 21
2-0 6.3 0-2 64 1-1 9.5
2-1 7.6 1-2 24 2-2 19
3-0 7.8 0-3 219 3-3 84
3-1 9.5 1-3 89 Other 6.2